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Fall TV: Which sci-fi/fantasy series will win, lose, draw?

Fall TV: Which sci-fi/fantasy series will win, lose, draw?
John Cho (left) and Joseph Fiennes in Flash Forward

The long wait is over. The decisions have been made. The scheduling has been done. Now all we have to do is watch our favorite sci-fi television shows next season and fall in love with some new ones. Suddenly, it really is all about us.

For now, it's time to assess which shows will be winners and which will be losers.

While the five broadcast television networks did us plenty of favors by picking up beloved shows such as Dollhouse and Chuck, not every scheduling move is going to give our favorite shows their best chance of survival. Every show that got a pickup, both the new and the renewed, is without a doubt a winner. But most any show can die a tragic death if it suffers from bad scheduling.

Here's a breakdown of the network strategy when it comes to sci-fi and fantasy television, as well as how things stack up for each show.

Fall TV: Which sci-fi/fantasy series will win, lose, draw?
V

ABC

You have to give ABC credit. Last year it put together some of the most creative shows on television (Eli Stone, Pushing Daisies) and took huge chances, which didn't really pay off. Programmers must not have learned their lesson, because they have the riskiest sci-fi and fantasy schedule of all the networks, with Flash Forward, Eastwick and V. They're also kicking off a night of comedy and desperately trying to get some new shows to take off, especially considering that their aging hits—Lost, Desperate Housewives and Grey's Anatomy—won't be around forever. After all, it can't all be about Dancing With the Stars.

Flash Forward: ABC's most buzzworthy show has landed in Ugly Betty's spot on Thursday nights at 8 p.m. ET/PT, before Grey's Anatomy. That puts it up against CBS' Survivor, Fox's Bones and The CW's The Vampire Diaries. It's a tough night to get traction, but Flash Forward will at least get sampled there. We're calling Flash Forward a DRAW.

Eastwick: This witchy brew of devilish comedy managed to get the best spot on the schedule: Wednesdays at 10 p.m. With only a mature CSI: NY on CBS and the new Jay Leno Show on NBC, the competition leaves the door wide open, whether ABC's night of sitcoms helps it out or not. We're calling Eastwick a WINNER.

Lost: After five seasons, one of the most creative and captivating shows on television is headed into its final season with just 17 episodes left to go. ABC hasn't laid out its midseason schedule, so we can't be sure where it will land, but Losties aren't about to stop watching now. We're calling Lost a WINNER.

V: Plans are that V will have four seasons, with a beginning, middle and end. Since it's set for midseason, it's too early to tell what ABC will do with it. The clips look nice and creepy, but will it be too sci-fi for general audiences? We're saying the jury's out.

Medium

CBS

The network knows its audience, and that audience usually favors the work of producer Jerry Bruckheimer. What CBS' audience doesn't appear to want is any new original sci-fi or fantasy programming. We should consider ourselves lucky that it was cost-effective for the network to grab up Medium when it had the chance.

Ghost Whisperer: Who'd have thought four years ago that this little supernatural series—about a young woman who acts as a social worker for the dead—would end up being the go-to show for CBS on Friday nights? While nearly every other show has fallen in ratings, Ghost Whisperer has stayed strong. Beyond that, it had a good season creatively. Next season, Ghost takes on The CW's Smallville and NBC's Law & Order, neither of which should have much of an effect on it, since they have different audiences. So we're calling Ghost Whisperer a WINNER.

Medium: With NBC's Jay Leno Show taking up five spots on the schedule, the decision whether Medium would get a pickup came down to the last minute. The buzz was that NBC wanted to order 13 episodes but star Patricia Arquette had 22-episode seasons specified in her contract. True? Maybe. In any case, what's certainly true is that CBS is very happy to get hold of Medium, since the show is produced by CBS TV Studios, which means the studio will get more of the profits than it would have if the show had remained on NBC. Regardless of the circumstance, this should be a very good move for this psychic-mommy detective series. It will get a full season of episodes and—finally—a true home on the schedule with Ghost Whisperer, driving some compatible viewers its way. Beyond that, it looks to be a winner for CBS as well, with the series offering a nice solid bridge to both Ghost and Numb3rs. We're calling Medium a WINNER.

Day One

NBC

This season it's all about Jay Leno for NBC. Of all the networks, NBC is in the biggest trouble. It doesn't have ratings winners such as American Idol, Dancing With the Stars or CSI. Only Sunday Night Football really brings in the viewers. So NBC is hoping The Jay Leno Show can draw some ratings by airing five nights a week. That offers NBC the ability to schedule original programming year-round with its experiment in "timeslot sharing" for several shows. Heroes and Chuck will share Chuck's Monday timeslot, and each show will get fewer episodes. But hungry ABC and CBS are thinking they just might try to take advantage of NBC's lack of scripted programming at 10 p.m.

Chuck: OK, Chuck people, you can finally breathe. Yes, you'll get a third season, if only 13 episodes. So it's a WINNER for merely being picked up. The bad news is you'll have to wait until midseason, while Heroes finishes its fall run. The other bad news is that Chuck could really use a new timeslot. Mondays opposite Fox's House and ABC's Dancing With the Stars has been tough on our favorite geeky spy. So we're calling Chuck a DRAW.

Day One: In another timeslot time share, Day One is set to follow Chuck on Mondays at midseason. NBC is calling Day One a series "event," which means it's planning only one season. The series chronicles the journey of a group of survivors after a global catastrophe, which so sounds like the perfect companion for Chuck—NOT. NBC's medical drama Trauma, meanwhile, gets the timeslot in the fall, and if that show is a big hit, Day One may find itself on another night. It's too early to tell whether Day One has potential and whether viewers will be more interested than they were in Jericho. We're saying the jury's out.

Heroes: Thanks to an early announcement by NBC, we knew we had another season of Heroes in our future. Then came the bad news. Not only will Heroes timeslot-share with Chuck, it will also be in Chuck's old timeslot against Fox's House and ABC's Dancing With the Stars. We hate to say it, but we think Mondays at 8 p.m. is going to be kryptonite for these superheroes, so we're calling this former hit, Heroes, a LOSER.

HumanTarget_Valley_shotgun.jpg

Human Target

Fox:

When you've got a megahit such as American Idol (called "The Death Star" by many in the industry), you can afford to take some chances. And take some chances it has with its sci-fi and genre programming, by bringing in a couple of interesting choices for midseason. There's the graphic-novel-inspired Human Target and the reincarnation drama Past Life. But the biggest, boldest moves involve keeping Dollhouse and moving Fringe to Thursdays.

Dollhouse: Picking up Joss Whedon's Dollhouse, with its bargain-basement ratings, was a big shocker for everyone. Remember this moment, boys and girls. It's the point where DVR ratings and Internet downloads became a major factor in television programming. Like Chuck, the mere fact that Dollhouse lives makes it a WINNER. While Dollhouse won't be overwhelmed by its competition—ABC's Ugly Betty and CBS' Medium—the bigger problem is that the series hasn't been able to build its audience. And its comedy lead-ins—Brothers and 'Til Death—don't look like they will be of much help. Unfortunately, we're calling Dollhouse a LOSER.

Fringe: You can't blame Fox for trying to take advantage of the drop in audience that both CBS' CSI and ABC's Grey's Anatomy have suffered this year. Whether Fringe can prevail over them: That's the big question. We like the Bones/Fringe pairing, even though a Fringe without an enormous lead-in such as last season's House or American Idol is a scary thought. While it's likely Fringe and The CW's Supernatural will draw similar audiences, it's also likely viewers will find a way to watch both shows. But this one's going to be tricky, so we're calling Fringe a DRAW.

Human Target: Fox knows how to take care of a new show. Just put it on after American Idol. Both its midseason shows will see a little network love in their programming. Human Target stars Fringe's Mark Valley as a man who protects people by pretending to be them. Not only will Fox give Human Target the plum spot on Wednesdays after the American Idol results show, it's also launching the series between the NFC Divisional Playoff Game and the premiere of 24 on Jan. 17. With no significant problematic competition, we're calling Human Target a big WINNER.

Past Life: This one's about a team that investigates past lives to solve problems in present lives. Fox is calling it a "fast-paced thriller" where a mystery "needs to be solved in both the past and the present." Ohhhkayy. Whether or not the idea for the series sounds preposterous, Fox is behind it 100 percent. It's got the best slot on television, after Tuesday's American Idol performance show. We're calling Past Life a DRAW. Sorry. The timeslot is a WINNER, but the series is a "fast-paced thriller" about reincarnation. Although the show's clips do remind us a little bit of Ghost Whisperer.

The Vampire Diaries

The CW:

The littlest broadcast network is wisely sticking to teen and young-adult soap operas when it comes to its new shows, and The Vampire Diaries fits right in. Its pairing with Supernatural is promising, and Friday's move for Smallville shouldn't hurt the show or the network.

Smallville: It may not seem fair to viewers that Smallville is getting kicked to Fridays as it goes into its last season. But do you really think the people who watch ABC's Supernanny, CBS' Ghost Whisperer or NBC's Law & Order are watching Smallville? It's doubtful too many regular viewers will be thrown off by the move, and the Smallville producers are getting a chance to finish the series the way they want to: with a final ninth season. In our eyes, that makes Smallville a WINNER, regardless of what the final season's ratings are.

Supernatural: This series—about two hot guys who drive a hot car and fight demons—has managed to do something shocking: It's taken the worst timeslot on television (Thursdays at 9 p.m.) and grown in the ratings. Not a lot, but enough. And the new lead-in of The Vampire Diaries might just help it do even better, especially considering that the teen girls who watch will probably stay tuned to see two hot guys who drive a hot car and fight demons. Yes, it's still up against CBS' CSI, ABC's Grey's Anatomy and now Fox's Fringe, but we're still calling Supernatural a WINNER.

The Vampire Diaries: Thanks to the obsession with Twilight, the angst-filled-teen-girl-meets-brooding-vampire-boy genre should have no trouble drawing in the chickettes. Picking up this series was one of the best moves The CW has made in years. If it turns out actually to be a good show, too, all the better, but that's not a deal-breaker. Yes, it's up against ABC's Flash Forward and Fox's Bones, but we're calling The Vampire Diaries a WINNER.

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(26) COMMENTS

jwm:
Hello, am I the only person out here is missing Moonlight, Me and numerous other people think you had a WINNER in ...More »


Comments

By tati at 7:56 AM ON 05/22/09

BBCA had it right when it devoted each night to a different theme: Mysteries on Mondays, Action on Saturdays, Reality on Thursdays, etc.

It makes sense (to me, anyway) to create a night of like-programming. You'd be more likely to draw and keep viewers for the evening if the theme remains the same.

Putting Dollhouse after those two comedies--on a Friday night--will kill it, unless the DVR/Hulu numbers are really stellar. As those numbers come to mean more and more to TV show ratings, scheduling might mean less and less.

I will watch most of my fall TV online or...well, in other ways. It's more relaxing to me to watch shows when I feel like it, even ones that I love.

By Polymer at 8:50 AM ON 05/22/09

Some of the new stuff sounds fun, but I am excited that Medium has a second life. NBC never really gave the show the best chance. It has decent writing and story lines. I don't understand why the viewership is not higher. If you haven't checked out Medium, watch some of the older shows over the summer. Some of the guest stars, like Angelica Huston, have been *really* fun to watch and Patricia Arquette is great in the lead role.

By Tom at 9:04 AM ON 05/22/09

Broadcast TV schedules have long been irrelevant, no matter what the network executives seem to think. Between DVR's and Internet sites like HULU, people watch a show when it's convenient, and not when it's on. Crying that a show has been ruined because it's on Friday night is nonsense.

As for me, I *never* watch a show when it's first broadcast. Now if you'll excuse me, I have a first-run episode of Castle I've been meaning to get to for over a month.

By Jimmy at 9:17 AM ON 05/22/09

I'm actually quite interested in what ABC is offering this year. I just couldn't get into Eli Stone and Pushing Daisies lost something between its first and second seasons. Flash Forward is a high concept series, but I wondering if audiences will stick around after the first few episodes. For the most part, this is just an ensemble drama with some sci-fi elements thrown in now and again.

Having been a fan of the movie and novel upon which Eastwick is based I'll be checking it out. It certainly has an interesting cast of women in the lead roles.

I was a kid when V first aired as a mini-series in the 80s and I remember being totally freaked out when the aliens' secret was revealed. I'm actually hoping the series will stick around for its projected 4 seasons.

By James at 9:19 AM ON 05/22/09

What about "The Listener"? A paramedic who can read thoughts seems pretty sci-fi to me. Re-broadcasting a show already produced in Canada would probably be pretty inexpensive for NBC.

By tati at 9:47 AM ON 05/22/09

@Tom

Friday nights were good at one time...I remember Dallas and Falcon Crest racking in some great numbers in their day--on Friday nights. People put the kids in bed beforehand or scheduled their dates or whatever for after those hours. That was long before DVRs and Hulu, of course :P

I wasn't 'crying' about Dollhouse on Fridays. I was making an observation which may or may not turn out to be true. Time will out :)

Maybe they put Dollhouse on Friday nights because they are not worried so much about its first-run numbers--they are going to rely on DVRs and Hulu numbers, instead. That seems to be what they did in the past year, or else the show likely would not have made it back on the schedule.

re: Castle--I watched the first two epis, I think. I have a LOT of catching up to do hehe

By Andy at 10:45 AM ON 05/22/09

Televisionary has a review of the full V pilot here:

http://www.televisionaryblog.com/2009/05/pilot-inspektor-abcs-v.html

He gives it an overwhelmingly positive review.

By Brawl at 11:30 AM ON 05/22/09

I was a big fan of the original V, so I'm very very excited about new V. My only hope is that the producers give the series a second twist for the long-time fans, since the true nature of the Visitors is no surprise to us.

By kanocain at 11:35 AM ON 05/22/09

Smallville will go on for another 2 seasons. Tom Welling has already signed for a tenth. However, Allison Mack may be written out. Read more here: http://blogs.indiewire.com/mattdentler/archives/2009/05/11/five_questions_for_allison_mack

By anyone at 11:54 AM ON 05/22/09

Supernatural isn't just for teen girls. Maybe watch the show and you'll see that.

By SCI FI Wire at 11:55 AM ON 05/22/09

James: The Listener actually airs on NBC this summer, not the fall. http://scifiwire.com/2009/04/the-listener-star-craig-o.php

By pocketdoom at 11:56 AM ON 05/22/09

I am sad to see Smallville switch to Friday. Wrestling is on on Fridays and I think some people that watch Wrestling watch Smallville. Plus, look what happened to Sarah Connor went to Fridays. Ratings plummented. Highly watched show on Monday, gets switched to Friday and does a nosedive. On Mondays it was up against Chuck and yes I like Chuck but Sarah Connor was a better show.

By Madwelshboy at 1:21 PM ON 05/22/09

sci-fi aint you forgetting about your own shows i.e. SGU and Sanctuary??

By save Sci Fi at 1:47 PM ON 05/22/09

In my market CW is never in HD and the picture is always really bad both on the digital sub channel over the air and the cable channel. They need to get this fixed if they expect to be watched. I have watched some Smallville on the HDNET a few times.

I have five DVRS (ten tuners) so I can record nearly every show on every network during prime time and do when the season first starts. Folks like me have forgotten about how a lead-in can be important or which night is important. Actually I watch most original shows every Friday night on SYFY and USA as well the broadcast shows so a show being on a so-called off night often assures me of recording it. Folks go into denial about eventually having advertisers supported shows and networks go away but at some point the costs to produce a show will make it prohibited to put on TV if the paying viewers (the ones that SEES commercials) become too small to offset the costs. I suspect the time will come that online sites will start charging a fee or shows will mirror the broadcaster’s exact showing of the show including commercials that cannot be fast forwarded past. Likely all this will be years in the future but it may well come.

By Baff at 1:59 PM ON 05/22/09

Yes, the Friday night shows were given wins too easily. You need to take into account Stargate Universe, Sanctuary, Clone Wars.

Caprica, Robin Hood, Game of Thrones & the new Spielberg show will have effects too, whenever they come on.

By SCI FI Wire at 2:14 PM ON 05/22/09

Madwelshboy: This is a rundown of shows on broadcast networks. SCI FI Channel is a cable network. We'll be writing about them separately at a later date.

By caien at 2:48 PM ON 05/22/09

your description of supernatural "two hot guys who drive a hot car and fight demons" was incredibly ignorant, its a brilliantly written show that deals with philosophical ideas and emotional issues, as anyone said; maybe watch the show and you'll see that

By lilacwire at 2:53 PM ON 05/22/09

Yeah...could you not peg Supernatural as such a teen drama with "hot boys fighting demons?" It's so much more than that. Watch some. Perhaps this is the reason it's grown in ratings!

(I know I sound like THAT GUY who gets in a twist about it.)

By IsoTek at 6:14 PM ON 05/22/09

@Brawl...Trust the producers of V, they haven't neglected the obvious. There are plenty of surprises in the new V to keep the story from being a one trick pony if you understand me.

By Gill Avila at 7:05 PM ON 05/22/09

Looking ahead, I'd love to see Dollhouse's serirs finale be where everybody escapes, gets into the real world, and then and then have a shock at the ending. I'll never forget my reaction when, in the finale of The Prisoner, # 6 goes home with the mute butler, and the front door of his home closes by itself behind the butler with sound of a pneumatic hum like all the doors in the village.

By curses at 5:00 PM ON 05/23/09

what a load of mediocre crap that is on TV, glad I sold my TV now I would not want to watch any of that low-sci-fi unoriginality. Independant web sci-fi shows FTW!!! much better!!!

By Tarc at 5:31 AM ON 05/24/09

It's a bit nonsensical to be talking about series 'leading in' to one another, or even being on at the same time. Lots of people do not watch TV any more, and that number is growing very, very quickly. Why on earth would anyone want to be tied to watching TV when some stupid network exec says so, and why woudl they want to watch it in the idiotic combinations they choose? I just gather the shows I like each week and watch them whenever I want, in the order I want (and I can stop for a break when I want). It's genius. Now if only TV execs would get program and make cable companies offer three channels for each network (like the BBC does), and then offer them to customers for a small fee. That way, they can improve the bottom line by starting event TV early for subscribers. Or hey, just create network passes, so that people can OnDemand or download their favorite shows (or all ofthe original nighttime shows on a network) to watch whenever they want (if you throw in starting the downloads a half hour before the normal air time (for hour long shows), you might be some cash flow.

And BTW, Siffy has mercilessly dogged Dollhouse since it started, and frankly, the last six epsiodes kicked butt. Stop the crap and get on board - maybe Joss will head to Siffy after washing his hands of FOX. Then again, I'm hoping HBO snaps him up. True Blood is genius.

By shin at 12:44 PM ON 05/24/09

honestly i'm a little bit scared that Supernatural will survive this time up against other good shows on thursday, because the mentalist and fringe move on thursday now. Anyway, Supernatural isnt the show only for teen girls or women out there, hey there are so many adults or men watch this show, but they never mentioned it. Supernatural has great philosophical ideas in it, thats why its a great show.

By Suri at 1:49 PM ON 05/25/09

I don't watch Supernatural for the hot guys- I watch it for the story. tyvm for generalizing.

By gab at 3:44 PM ON 05/25/09

Supernatural is not about two hot guys who drive a hot car and fight demons. Have you ever seen the show? You have not idea about the show and the viewers. You should see Supernatural and them talk about it.

By jwm at 8:59 AM ON 06/11/09

Hello, am I the only person out here is missing Moonlight, Me and numerous other people think you had a WINNER in Series MOONLIGHT. I and others will miss this show.


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